Pre-tourney Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.5#25
Expected Predictive Rating+17.3#16
Pace67.8#176
Improvement-2.8#296

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#21
First Shot+9.0#14
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#142
Layup/Dunks+1.6#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#16
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-3.2#323

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#43
First Shot+5.7#37
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#146
Layups/Dunks+2.3#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#80
Freethrows+3.4#25
Improvement+0.4#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 25.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 98.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round74.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen34.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.1% n/a n/a
Final Four5.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 285   Bryant W 89-64 98%     1 - 0 +14.7 +11.4 +3.8
  Nov 16, 2016 267   Seattle W 92-49 98%     2 - 0 +33.9 +17.5 +16.2
  Nov 18, 2016 251   Loyola Maryland W 83-48 97%     3 - 0 +27.1 +11.1 +17.3
  Nov 21, 2016 72   Colorado W 89-83 77%     4 - 0 +13.7 +14.3 -0.8
  Nov 22, 2016 40   Northwestern W 70-66 65%     5 - 0 +15.4 +14.6 +1.4
  Nov 26, 2016 339   Chicago St. W 91-60 99%     6 - 0 +13.7 +15.9 -0.9
  Nov 29, 2016 65   Iowa W 92-78 82%     7 - 0 +19.9 +17.2 +2.2
  Dec 04, 2016 349   N.C. A&T W 107-53 99.7%    8 - 0 +32.0 +23.8 +10.1
  Dec 06, 2016 148   Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-72 93%     9 - 0 +13.5 +5.1 +7.4
  Dec 10, 2016 2   Villanova L 66-74 26%     9 - 1 +14.1 +12.6 +0.4
  Dec 17, 2016 16   Purdue L 81-86 42%     9 - 2 +12.6 +15.0 -2.2
  Dec 19, 2016 270   Colgate W 77-62 98%     10 - 2 +5.8 +2.1 +4.2
  Dec 28, 2016 123   St. Peter's W 63-55 92%     11 - 2 +7.7 -0.2 +8.7
  Dec 31, 2016 73   @ Pittsburgh W 78-77 OT 69%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +11.2 +6.6 +4.6
  Jan 04, 2017 7   Louisville W 77-70 45%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +23.7 +12.6 +11.2
  Jan 07, 2017 39   Clemson W 75-70 73%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +14.0 +12.8 +1.7
  Jan 12, 2017 31   @ Miami (FL) W 67-62 50%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +20.4 +8.2 +12.4
  Jan 14, 2017 36   @ Virginia Tech W 76-71 54%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +19.3 +9.6 +9.9
  Jan 18, 2017 18   @ Florida St. L 80-83 34%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +16.7 +11.3 +5.6
  Jan 21, 2017 46   Syracuse W 84-66 75%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +26.6 +16.9 +10.7
  Jan 24, 2017 11   Virginia L 54-71 50%     17 - 4 6 - 2 -1.6 -0.7 -3.0
  Jan 28, 2017 77   @ Georgia Tech L 60-62 72%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +7.3 +5.7 +1.4
  Jan 30, 2017 10   Duke L 74-84 49%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +5.8 +7.6 -2.0
  Feb 05, 2017 3   North Carolina L 76-83 31%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +13.6 +14.6 -1.3
  Feb 07, 2017 29   Wake Forest W 88-81 69%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +17.4 +13.6 +3.6
  Feb 11, 2017 18   Florida St. W 84-72 53%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +26.6 +14.4 +11.8
  Feb 14, 2017 138   @ Boston College W 84-76 86%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +11.9 +11.9 -0.2
  Feb 18, 2017 94   @ North Carolina St. W 81-72 78%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +16.4 +14.1 +2.9
  Feb 26, 2017 77   Georgia Tech W 64-60 85%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +8.2 +3.4 +5.0
  Mar 01, 2017 138   Boston College W 82-66 93%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +14.8 +9.7 +5.3
  Mar 04, 2017 7   @ Louisville L 64-71 27%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +14.8 +9.0 +5.0
  Mar 09, 2017 11   Virginia W 71-58 41%     24 - 8 +30.9 +27.4 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2017 18   Florida St. W 77-73 43%     25 - 8 +21.1 +12.5 +8.6
  Mar 11, 2017 10   Duke L 69-75 39%     25 - 9 +12.4 +8.6 +3.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.0 4.4 20.7 50.4 23.5 1.1 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.0 4.4 20.7 50.4 23.5 1.1 100.0%